Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.261985 0.356783 0.462186 0.585888 0.725154 0.875432 1.048293
2025-07-13 0.149776 0.273536 0.429283 0.628728 0.868623 1.140929 1.467206
2025-07-20 0.097100 0.229825 0.413901 0.663735 0.976316 1.341126 1.787533
2025-07-27 0.070502 0.212130 0.425120 0.726835 1.114625 1.575453 2.146841
2025-08-03 0.047243 0.189540 0.422982 0.767545 1.221323 1.769108 2.455959
2025-08-10 0.025045 0.156584 0.398744 0.773718 1.280890 1.903371 2.692924
2025-08-17 0.006125 0.109288 0.341376 0.726438 1.266065 1.942507 2.812822
2025-08-24 0.000011 0.069905 0.285194 0.672786 1.237003 1.959623 2.902507
2025-08-31 NaN 0.048643 0.255354 0.654140 1.251858 2.029538 3.054493
2025-09-07 NaN 0.037553 0.243321 0.661618 1.301572 2.143155 3.259765
2025-09-14 NaN 0.025821 0.224208 0.654794 1.329485 2.227544 3.427972
2025-09-21 NaN 0.015236 0.200907 0.637640 1.340644 2.288801 3.566311
2025-09-28 NaN 0.013162 0.206384 0.674407 1.434758 2.464790 3.856261
2025-10-05 NaN 0.012074 0.215537 0.718619 1.541086 2.658585 4.170879
2025-10-12 NaN 0.010503 0.221594 0.756673 1.637956 2.839531 4.468939
2025-10-19 NaN 0.012098 0.242976 0.824047 1.779062 3.079888 4.842863
2025-10-26 NaN 0.011173 0.251822 0.867550 1.884434 3.272657 5.156578
2025-11-02 NaN 0.007141 0.241770 0.874123 1.933920 3.390544 5.375124
2025-11-09 NaN 0.001444 0.204513 0.823655 1.894809 3.388096 5.439338
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.167033 0.766258 1.841474 3.364005 5.473922
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.148685 0.746278 1.844680 3.415537 5.604422
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.143072 0.754293 1.892192 3.527927 5.813655
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.131590 0.746980 1.914279 3.604727 5.976425